Seperti yang dikatakan banyak kali, inflasi terkawal yang sederhana sebenarnya adalah baik untuk ekonomi selagi kita mempunyai guna tenaga penuh dan pertumbuhan KDNK yang berterusan. Sebarang kenaikan kos akan akhirnya membawa kepada peningkatan kepada gaji/upah.
Sebab utama mengapa inflasi berlaku adalah disebabkan oleh permintaan kukuh yang berterusan dan pendapatan yang semakin meningkat.
Alternatifnya ialah apa yang berlaku ke Thailand sekarang dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang lemah dan kejatuhan harga minyak menyebabkan disinflasi dan lingkaran deflasi mungkin yang akan melemahkan Thailand bertahun-tahun lamanya.
Baca di bawah mengapa Thailand sedang berjuang “Menurunkan Harga”.
Apakah kita yakin bahawa Thailand mampu untuk menukar ‘Barang Naik’ dinegara kita dengan ‘Turun Harga’ mereka jika diberi peluang.
Disinflation – or negative inflation – has hit Thailand for the past 12 months in a row in December 2015. In the first quarter of this year, inflation was minus-0.5 per cent. The situation worsened in April, with inflation at negative-1.04 per cent. In May the disinflation surged to -1.27 per cent, prompting growing concern as to whether deflation is waiting on the horizon.
While disinflation is a temporary phenomenon of price decline, deflation represents a general collapse in prices and demand, aggravated by a lack of fresh investment and a marked slowdown in the velocity of money (its speed of circulation).
Once an economy plunges into a deflationary spiral, it is extremely difficult to perk it up again. A dose of fiscal expansion and sharp rate cuts will have to be met with renewed confidence and fresh investment to create employment.
The advanced economies – the United States, the UK, Japan and most recently Europe – have embarked on this policy of Keynesian spending and zero interest rates to pull themselves out of the severe slump, yet despite seven years of unorthodox methods a recovery is nowhere in sight.
—
http://www.bloomberg.com/…/thailand-facing-disinflation-fig…
http://www.nationmultimedia.com/…/Debt-ridden-Thailand-bein…
